工党发言人：螃蟹状复苏 新西兰经济走进死胡同

　　最新数据显示新西兰的经济仍在持续低迷中挣扎。　　工党经济发展事务发言人大卫康利夫日前指出：新西兰统计局发布数据表明国人信用卡使用率下降了0.2个百分点，旅游住宿花费则下降了2个百分点，国际游客到新西兰

　　工党经济发展事务发言人大卫康利夫日前指出：新西兰统计局发布数据表明国人信用卡使用率下降了0.2个百分点，旅游住宿花费则下降了2个百分点，国际游客到新西兰南北两岛的数量也呈下降之势，这反映的是连续第四年旅游业的收入下降。

　　除了上述数据，新西兰经济学院上一周还发布了得到他们高度评价的《商业意见季度调查〉（QSBO）。这个调查中显示本国经济的“螃蟹状复苏”――指经济“走到岔道上去了”。

　　新西兰经济学院的发现令人忧心。公司的贸易十分不活跃――没有任何增长――而且9个月以来经济复苏也毫无加快的迹象。

　　引起人们担忧的一条是商业投资的缺乏。投资意愿下降，这和投资能力短缺是一致的。鉴于纽币仍在持续被高估，同时政府又没有一个让人信赖的经济发展计划，商业投资的缺乏也就并不令人感到意外。

　　与此同时，坎特伯雷地区劳动力与住房均告短缺的现象则虽在意料之中却是日益严重。加上EQC地震委员会与保险公司的消极对待，使地震重建工作的进展困难重重。

　　商业与经济调查公司（Berl）的最新预告显示新西兰经济目前是处于“往最好里看是停滞不前，往最坏的情形看是二次探底”的情况。他们警告说随着出口下降，商品价格下跌、旅游业收入降低、基督城重建工作滞后；与此相抵销则是受租金驱动的奥克兰房价高涨，新西兰将出现一个“两种速度的经济”的局面。

　　这不就是像在坐过山车么？――而曾几何时政府许诺说要把我国经济带离这样的过山车的。

　　新西兰需要在立足于我们特有的自然资源和优秀人才的基础上发展、打造一个可信的计划去增长经济与创造就业。

　　非常遗憾，国家党执政以来3年半过去了，我们新西兰人却还在苦等这样一个计划。

　　David

　　CUNLIFFE

　　Economic Development Spokesperson

　　12 April 2012                                               MEDIA STATEMENT

　　New Zealand economy going nowhere

　　Latest data shows New Zealand’s economy is still struggling to claw its way out of an extended rut, Labour's Economic Development spokesperson David Cunliffe says.

　　“Statistics NZ today revealed total electronic card transactions aredown 0.2 per cent and tourism guest nights are down 2 per cent, with international arrivals down in both Islands, reflecting four straight years of decline for tourism receipts.
　　
　　“On top of that the NZ Institute of Economic Research published its highly regarded Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) this week. That showed a ‘crab-like recovery’ of an economy ‘going sideways’,” David Cunliffe said.
　　
　　"NZIER's findings are disturbing. Trading activity of firms is flat - at 0 per cent - and there has been no acceleration in the recovery over the last nine months.

　　"There is a worrying absence of business investment. Investment intentions are down in line with capacity pressures. This is hardly surprising with an exchange rate that is consistently overvalued and the lack of a credible government economic growth plan.

　　"At the same time there are predictable but mounting labour and housing shortages in Canterbury, which alongside the standoff between EQC and insurers, is hugely debilitating for the earthquake rebuild.

　　"Business and Economic Research Ltd’s (Berl) latest forecasts show the economy is ‘in a holding pattern at best, or at worst a double dip recession’. They warn of a ‘two speed economy’ with declining export performance, falling commodity prices and tourism receipts and further delays in Christchurch; offset against a rent-driven housing surge in Auckland.

　　"Isn't this precisely the kind of rollercoaster the government said it would get us off?

　　"New Zealand needs a credible plan for growth and jobs that builds on our unique natural resource base and talented, innovative people," David Cunliffe said.

　　"Three and a half years into this sorry Government and Kiwis are still waiting for one.”