中国据报明年赤字率3% 拟发万亿特别国债
作者: 联合早报 日期:2023-12-18 18:19 阅读:0 来源:联合早报
据联合早报报道
(北京综合讯)英媒引述消息报道,中国政府的财政施策保持谨慎,计划将明年赤字率控制在3%,并可能发行特别国债。
据路透社星期五(12月15日)引述三名知情人士报道,中国领导层在本周的中央经济工作会议上同意,2024年的预算赤字将被控制在国内生产总值(GDP)的3%以内,不足的部分可能由不纳入赤字的特别国债来补充,以增加财政灵活性。消息人士透露,这些债券的规模可能达到一万亿元(人民币,下同,1868亿新元)。
中国通常将预算赤字率保持在3%或以下。今年10月中国宣布在四季度增发2023年国债一万亿元,预计将赤字率从3%提高到3.8%左右。报道说,新设立的赤字数字低于今年修订后的目标,表明北京方面希望保持财政纪律,不考虑明年实施“火箭筒”式大规模的财政刺激政策。
对于相关报道,中国国务院、财政部及国家发展和改革委员会未予置评。不过据新华社报道,中央经济工作会议强调,要继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,加强政策工具创新和协调配合。
据第一财经报道,中国证券业协会12月12日召开了证券基金行业首席经济学家会议。与会专家认为,前期中央财政增发一万亿特别国债,有助于推动基建投资保持较高增速。专家建议,2024年中央财政可适度提高赤字率水平,提质增效,促进提振内需和市场信心。
投资者正密切关注中国的财政状况。国际评级机构穆迪上周将中国主权信用评级展望从”稳定”调为”负面”,并对中国地方政府债务和房地产行业的风险发出了警告。
路透社引述知情人士说,中国可能会在2024年设定约5%的经济增长目标。但分析师表示,要实现与今年类似的增长水平,中国或需更大的财政支持,并在明年预算赤字中保留一定灵活性,以应对经济表现不佳的情况。
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The following has evaluated to null or missing:
==> info.copyRight [in template "1/default/newsDetail.html" at line 717, column 30]
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Tip: It's the step after the last dot that caused this error, not those before it.
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Tip: If the failing expression is known to legally refer to something that's sometimes null or missing, either specify a default value like myOptionalVar!myDefault, or use [#if myOptionalVar??]when-present[#else]when-missing[/#if]. (These only cover the last step of the expression; to cover the whole expression, use parenthesis: (myOptionalVar.foo)!myDefault, (myOptionalVar.foo)??
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FTL stack trace ("~" means nesting-related):
- Failed at: ${info.copyRight.content!""} [in template "1/default/newsDetail.html" at line 717, column 28]
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Java stack trace (for programmers):
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freemarker.core.InvalidReferenceException: [... Exception message was already printed; see it above ...]
at freemarker.core.InvalidReferenceException.getInstance(InvalidReferenceException.java:134)
at freemarker.core.UnexpectedTypeException.newDesciptionBuilder(UnexpectedTypeException.java:85)
at freemarker.core.UnexpectedTypeException.(UnexpectedTypeException.java:48)
at freemarker.core.NonHashException.(NonHashException.java:49)
at freemarker.core.Dot._eval(Dot.java:48)
at freemarker.core.Expression.eval(Expression.java:83)
at freemarker.core.DefaultToExpression._eval(DefaultToExpression.java:88)
at freemarker.core.Expression.eval(Expression.java:83)
at freemarker.core.DollarVariable.calculateInterpolatedStringOrMarkup(DollarVariable.java:100)
at freemarker.core.DollarVariable.accept(DollarVariable.java:63)
at freemarker.core.Environment.visit(Environment.java:330)
at freemarker.core.Environment.visit(Environment.java:336)
at freemarker.core.Environment.visit(Environment.java:336)
at freemarker.core.Environment.process(Environment.java:309)
at freemarker.template.Template.process(Template.java:384)
at com.jspxcms.common.file.FtpFileHandler$11.doInFtp(FtpFileHandler.java:270)
at com.jspxcms.common.file.FtpTemplate.execute(FtpTemplate.java:58)
at com.jspxcms.common.file.FtpFileHandler.storeFile(FtpFileHandler.java:257)
at com.jspxcms.core.html.PInfo.doMakeHtml(PInfo.java:105)
at com.jspxcms.core.html.PInfo.makeHtml(PInfo.java:48)
at com.jspxcms.core.html.HtmlServiceImpl.makeInfo(HtmlServiceImpl.java:56)
at com.jspxcms.core.html.HtmlServiceImpl$$FastClassBySpringCGLIB$$ca793f53.invoke()
at org.springframework.cglib.proxy.MethodProxy.invoke(MethodProxy.java:204)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.CglibAopProxy$CglibMethodInvocation.invokeJoinpoint(CglibAopProxy.java:736)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.ReflectiveMethodInvocation.proceed(ReflectiveMethodInvocation.java:157)
at org.springframework.transaction.interceptor.TransactionInterceptor$1.proceedWithInvocation(TransactionInterceptor.java:99)
at org.springframework.transaction.interceptor.TransactionAspectSupport.invokeWithinTransaction(TransactionAspectSupport.java:283)
at org.springframework.transaction.interceptor.TransactionInterceptor.invoke(TransactionInterceptor.java:96)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.ReflectiveMethodInvocation.proceed(ReflectiveMethodInvocation.java:179)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.CglibAopProxy$DynamicAdvisedInterceptor.intercept(CglibAopProxy.java:671)
at com.jspxcms.core.html.HtmlServiceImpl$$EnhancerBySpringCGLIB$$1f4ab7ef.makeInfo()
at com.jspxcms.core.service.impl.InfoServiceImpl.updateHtml(InfoServiceImpl.java:879)
at com.jspxcms.core.service.impl.InfoServiceImpl.updateHtml(InfoServiceImpl.java:843)
at com.jspxcms.core.service.impl.InfoServiceImpl.save(InfoServiceImpl.java:155)
at com.jspxcms.core.service.impl.InfoServiceImpl$$FastClassBySpringCGLIB$$3b2ee07e.invoke()
at org.springframework.cglib.proxy.MethodProxy.invoke(MethodProxy.java:204)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.CglibAopProxy$CglibMethodInvocation.invokeJoinpoint(CglibAopProxy.java:736)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.ReflectiveMethodInvocation.proceed(ReflectiveMethodInvocation.java:157)
at org.springframework.transaction.interceptor.TransactionInterceptor$1.proceedWithInvocation(TransactionInterceptor.java:99)
at org.springframework.transaction.interceptor.TransactionAspectSupport.invokeWithinTransaction(TransactionAspectSupport.java:283)
at org.springframework.transaction.interceptor.TransactionInterceptor.invoke(TransactionInterceptor.java:96)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.ReflectiveMethodInvocation.proceed(ReflectiveMethodInvocation.java:179)
at org.springframework.aop.framework.CglibAopProxy$DynamicAdvisedInterceptor.intercept(CglibAopProxy.java:671)
at com.jspxcms.core.service.impl.InfoServiceImpl$$EnhancerBySpringCGLIB$$26982e50.save()
at com.jspxcms.ext.collect.CollectorImpl$CollectThread.doCollect(CollectorImpl.java:133)
at com.jspxcms.ext.collect.CollectorImpl$CollectThread.run(CollectorImpl.java:44)